Tuesday 1 January 2013

Gold shoots up on hopes of last-minute deal to avoid U.S. fiscal cliff



          Gold prices spiked in U.S. trading on Monday on hopes U.S. lawmakers will vote on a late-hour deal to avoid the U.S. fiscal cliff, which pushed up demand for risk-on asset classes including gold.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for March delivery were up 1.32% at USD1,677.75 a troy ounce in U.S. trading, up from a session low of USD1,655.95 and down from a high of USD1,680.95 a troy ounce.

Gold futures were likely to test support USD1,654.15 a troy ounce, Friday's low, and resistance at USD1,724.75, the high of Dec. 12.

Talk that lawmakers are close to striking a deal that will steer the economy away from the fiscal cliff, a potentially recessionary combination of tax hikes and spending cuts due to take effect at the close of 2012, sent gold prices soaring.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has warned that failure to address the fiscal cliff could tip the U.S. economy into a recession next year.

Sticking points between the White House and congressional Republicans include tax rates on top U.S. earners and the scope of public spending cuts, though hopes President Barack Obama will announce progress to avoid the fiscal cliff later Monday sparked a rally in the gold market, a barometer for appetite for risk.

Meanwhile on the Comex, silver for March delivery was up 0.98% and trading at USD30.270 a troy ounce, while copper for March delivery was up 1.70% and trading at USD3.651 a pound. -

Investing.com

Natural gas plummets as forecasts point to warmer weather



               Natural gas futures tanked on Monday after meteorologists tweaked their forecasts for the next two weeks to the warmer side.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.374 per million British thermal units, down 2.72%.

Recent forecasts calling for cold weather to return in January moderated somewhat Monday.

Weather service provider MDA Weather said that it expected temperatures to warm up in the coming days through the second week of January.

Natural gas futures are very sensitive to weather reports in the U.S. winter.

The heating season from November through March sees peak demand for U.S. gas.

About half of U.S. households use gas for heating purposes, according to Energy Department data.

Meanwhile, U.S. natural gas storage fell less than expected in the week before last, official data revealed on Friday, though weather forecasts served as the market's chief weather vane.

In a report, the Energy Information Administration said that U.S. natural gas storage fell by 72 billion cubic feet last week to 3.652 trillion cubic feet, less than a decline of 82 billion cubic feet in the preceding week.

Analysts had expected U.S. natural gas storage to fall 76 billion cubic feet last week, though markets focused more on weather forecasts

Elsewhere on the NYMEX, light sweet crude oil futures for delivery in February were up 0.83% and trading at USD91.55 a barrel, while heating oil for February delivery were up 0.41% and trading at USD3.0337 per gallon.
-Investing.com

Crude gains on hopes for U.S. deal to avoid fiscal cliff



                                    Crude oil futures rose on Monday on hopes U.S. policymakers will strike a last-minute deal to avoid the fiscal cliff, a potentially recessionary combo of tax hikes and spending cuts due to take effect with the close of 2012.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for delivery in February traded at USD91.27 a barrel on Monday, up 0.52%, off from a session high of USD91.34 and up from an earlier session low of USD90.00.

Failure to agree on fiscal framework in the U.S. now will allow tax breaks to expire at the end of 2012  alongside deep spending cuts, a combination known as a fiscal cliff that could push the U.S. economy into a recession next year, which would seriously crimp demand for fuels and energy.

While lawmakers were scrambling to reach a deal on the last day of 2012, oil futures rose on hopes negotiations will lead to some sort of agreement that resolves uncertainty even if a solution involves stop-gap measures that give the nation's leaders more time to address longer-term fiscal reforms.

Meanwhile on the ICE Futures Exchange, Brent oil futures for February delivery were up 0.07% at USD110.69 a barrel, up USD19.42 from its U.S. counterpart. - Investing.com