Thursday 28 February 2013

India introduces 4% excise duty on Silver produced from Zinc


India introduced a 4 percent excise duty on silver manufactured from smelting zinc or lead.

India's Finance minister P. Chidambaram however didn't raise import duty non gold in his budget presentation in the country’s parliament early Thursday.

Chidambaram however introduced a 0.01 percent Commodities Transactions Tax (CTT) for commodity futures in a limited way from next fiscal year.He exempted agri commodities from the CTT.

The Finance Minister also introduced a string of reforms,opening India to wider foreign investment and cutting deficit-ballooning spending and subsidies to avert a damaging credit rating downgrade and boost corporate spending.

India's share market regulator SEBI will simplify procedures for entry of foreign portfolio investors to invest in India.

All public sector banks to have ATM's by the end of this year. A new women's bank to be set up for lending to women's entrepreuners, and allots rs 1000 crores in the budget. The bank is also to have a majority of women employees

India Raises Spending, Taxes the Rich


                          India's finance minister Thursday tried to balance political compulsions with repeated promises of financial discipline, saying he will raise spending but that he will stick to a fiscal roadmap and increase taxes for the rich.
The 16.6 trillion rupee ($307 billion) budget for the fiscal year starting April 1 aims to increase spending by 16%, underscoring the pressure on the government to continue to spend on development plans in the education, health and other social sectors, with an eye on improving its prospects at state elections this year and federal polls in 2014.

P. Chidambaram, while presenting the federal budget in parliament, projected that the country's fiscal deficit will be 4.8% of gross domestic product in the next fiscal year starting April 1, narrower than this year's 5.2% deficit, which betters its own previous projection of 5.3%.
The government hopes to reduce the deficit to 3% by March 2017.
New Delhi is banking on revenue from higher taxes on the rich and corporates and from stake sales in state-run companies and the auction of

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Stronger As US Dollar Eases

Crude oil futures opened marginally higher tracking sharp gains in the Asia equities with investors keying into comments from the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve emphasizing an ongoing commitment to monetary stimulus. Asia stocks climbed Thursday, the last day of the month with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index trading up 0.9%, while the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.4%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average rose 2%, South Korea’s Kospi advanced 1.1%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index moved up 0.7%.
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WTI crude oil tumbled Wednesday after stockpiles of crude rose in top consumer the United States, pressuring an already well supplied market. Inventories of crude oil rose by 1.13 million barrels in the week to Feb. 22, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a weekly report. Distillate stocks, including heating oil and diesel, rose 557,000 barrels. Meanwhile, prices drew support from indications the U.S. economy is improving.
The National Association of Realtors said earlier that its pending home sales index rose by 4.5% in January, beating expectations for a 1.5% gain. Year-on-year, pending home sales rose at annualized rate of 10.4% last month, above expectations for an 8.2% increase. Separately, the U.S. Commerce Department said that total

Wednesday 27 February 2013

Fed Director Bernanke Sends Gold Skywards


                            Gold’s biggest rally in months edged into day three to trade above the 1615.00 level after being stuck under the resistance level of 1600, when the U.S. Federal Reserve chief defended the stimulus program that has stoked gold buying on inflation worries. Mr. Bernanke’s testimony seemed to indicate that the FOMC would continue its ongoing asset purchase programs, which helped bump gold skywards. Bernanke said that the current programs were not causing inflation or an asset bubble.






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This morning gold is giving back a few dollars after the US dollar rebounded late in trading on yesterday on positive eco data and as traders took advantage to the rally to sell and book profits as the month comes to a close. Gold rose 1.3 percent on yesterday, its biggest one-day gain in three months, as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s defense of U.S. bond-buying stimulus boosted bullion’s inflation-hedge appeal. The metal broke above $1,600 an ounce, extending its rally to a fourth straight day, after Bernanke said Fed policymakers are cognizant of potential risks from its loose monetary policy, but the risks did not seem material now. In his testimony on the central bank’s semiannual report on monetary policy,

Thursday 21 February 2013

Rio’s Mongolia Copper Dream Awakens 20-Year-Old Nightmare


Rio Tinto Group (RIO)’s Mongolia copper and gold mine looks a dream location sitting next toChina, the biggest market. Yet, Mongolia’s bid for more control of the project draws comparison with a Rio mine that went badly wrong.
Mongolia’s government is ratcheting up criticism of Rio’s management of the $6.6 billion project, the landlocked country’s single biggest investment. Lawmakers have argued for a bigger share of profit, while President Tsakhia Elbegdorj wants more management control. He faces elections in June with a fifth of the nation’s 3 million people in poverty despite world-beating economic growth of 17.3 percent in 2011.





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“In Bougainville the community felt, rightly or wrongly, they weren’t compensated adequately for the various impacts of mining they were having to absorb,” said Jeffrey Neilson, a senior lecturer in economic geography at the University of Sydney. Governments in emerging economies “have to be seen to be taking a strong stance and making sure that the benefits of their resource wealth are being shared.”Rio has refused government overtures to rewrite the agreement on the mine known as Oyu Tolgoi, raising tensions and comparisons with another Rio copper mine more than two decades ago. That project known as Panguna on the island of Bougainville in Papua New Guinea was shut by local protests and is still the subject of a U.S. court case.
Mining companies also need to consider wealth distribution in countries where they invest as a matter of course, said Michael Bush, who now heads credit research at National AustraliaBank Ltd. and formerly worked as a geologist at Triad Minerals Inc.

‘Fingers Burned’

At Panguna, which was closed in 1989 after protests turned violent, the company “got its fingers burned more than many” of its peers, Bush said.
The unrest at Panguna, led by Francis Ona a former Bougainville mine worker, revitalized an independence movement on the island. That prompted the Papua New Guinea government to declare a state of emergency and send in troops in a conflict in which thousands died.
Bougainville landowners later filed a U.S. lawsuit alleging Rio conspired with the PNG government in acts of genocide, human rights abuses and environmental damage. Rio lost anappeal to have the lawsuit thrown out on Oct. 25, 2011. In November the same year, Rio sought to appeal the ruling to the U.S. Supreme Court. No decision has been made, according to the court’s website.

‘Serious Risks’

The company has argued that as the case has no connection whatsoever to the

Gold Headed for Longest Slump in Over a Year


Gold Hammered to 7.5-Mo. Low on Technical Selling, Bearish FOMC Minutes



Gold prices ended the U.S. day session sharply lower Wednesday, and then extended those losses in the afternoon following a bearish FOMC minutes report. Prices hit a fresh
7.5-month low as the precious yellow metals bulls are presently reeling. April gold last traded down $43.50 at $1,560.90 an ounce. Spot gold was last quoted down $44.90 at $1,560.50.  March Comex silver last traded down $1.017 at $28.405 an ounce.
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee in early January said U.S. economic conditions are improving to the point that its massive asset purchasing program (quantitative easing) may have to be changed. The FOMC will further address the issue at its next meeting in March. Worries the FOMC minutes would indeed be bearish added to the technical selling pressure Wednesday morning. These minutes in the past few months have been market-movers, just like Wednesday’s. The U.S. Treasury markets, with their recent rising bond yields, are also hinting that the Fed’s very accommodative monetary policy of the past few years will start to wind down in the not-too-distant future. That’s yet another underlying bearish factor for the raw commodity sector, including gold and silver.
Wednesday’s price action on the daily chart for April Comex gold futures saw the 50-day moving average cross below the 200-day moving average, to produce what is called a “death cross.” This term has become somewhat popular in recent years, partly because it sounds so ominous. However, the technical significance of this particular moving average crossover signal is not major. In fact, a Dow Jones report Wednesday said that Schaeffer’s Investment Research analyst Ryan Detrick did a historical analysis of the death cross on gold, and he found that on average gold prices actually rebounded somewhat in the weeks and months following the death cross.
Another major bearish factor for the gold and silver markets in recent weeks has been rallying stock markets worldwide, which shows investor risk appetite is on the upswing—at the expense of demand for safe-haven assets like gold and to a lesser degree silver. The recent strength of the U.S. dollar index is also an underlying bearish factor for the precious metals markets. Recent developments coming out of the European Union paint a picture of improving financial and economic conditions, to suggest the EU has turned the corner toward recovery from its sovereign debt crisis. That’s also a bearish underlying factor for the safe-haven gold market.

Saturday 16 February 2013

METALS OUTLOOK: Sentiment In Gold Changes; Watch Asian Activity

The short-term sentiment in gold changed this week, particularly as the market took out an important technical-chart level, but whether the metal extends its losses might depend on what Asian buyers do next week when they return from their Lunar New Year festival.
Prices were lower on the day and the week. Most-active April gold on the Comex division of the Nymex settled at $1,609.50, down 3.4% on the week. March silver settled at $29.869, down 5% on the week.  
In the U.S., markets are closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Trade resumes Tuesday.

In the Kitco News Gold Survey, out of 33 participants, 25 responded this week. Of those 25 participants, nine see prices up, while 12 see prices down, and four see prices moving sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders, money managers and technical-chart analysts.
Market participants said attitudes in gold for now have changed, pointing to an increase in open interest in Comex futures market as prices fall. Open interest is a

Friday 15 February 2013

Gold slides on euro zone recession fears

Gold futures extended losses from Thursday’s U.S. session in the early part of Asian trading today as traders digested some slack economic data out of Europe. On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for April delivery fell 0.24% to USD1,631.65 per troy ounce in Asian trading Friday. That decline comes after gold settled down 0.54% at USD1,636.15 a troy ounce in U.S. trading on Thursday.

Gold futures were likely to test support USD1,626.05 a troy ounce, the low from Jan. 4, and resistance at USD1,653.75, Wednesday's high. On Thursday, a reported showed the euro zone’s fourth-quarter GDP contracted by 0.6%, well below expectations for a 0.4% quarterly decline and far surpassing the previous 0.1% contraction. It was the worst rate of contraction since 2009 and the third straight quarter of negative growth. Typically, economists consider an economy to be in recession with two consecutive negative GDP readings.

Monday 11 February 2013

Gold edges up in Asia despite a strong dollar

Gold edged up in Asian trade Monday despite a relatively strong dollar. Gold for immediate delivery was seen trading at $1667.15 an ounce at 12.00 noon Singapore time while US gold was seen at $1667.94 an ounce on the comex division of nymex.
Strength in the dollar and a rise in U.S. stocks following better-than-expected trade data drew investors away from the precious metal at the end of last week . Analysts said the precious yellow metal is likely to remain highly volatile during the day as most investors stayed away from trade ahead of Chines New Year holidays. Meanwhile, platinum and palladium hovered below their strongest levels in 17 months after

Oil rises following U.S. blizzard

Oil futures rose modestly to start the Asian trading week after one of the worst blizzards in decades struck the U.S. East Coast, prompting speculation that heating oil and natural gas prices are poised to jump in the near-term. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for March delivery added 0.06% to USD95.78 per barrel in Asian trading Monday. Last week, New York-traded crude dipped 1.85% for its first decline in nine weeks.

Traders seemed to gloss over comments from Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani who said the U.S. is on pace to become energy independent as soon as 2018. Due to soaring production at various shale formations such as the Bakken and Eagle Ford, U.S. oil output has jumped in recent years to the point that the world’s largest oil consumer has become a next exporter of the commodity. Some estimates have said the U.S. will be energy by 2020 while others have put the date further out at 2030, implying Ambani’s comments are on the ambitious side. The U.S. December trade deficit fell to its lowest level in three years due to increased oil and gas exports. On a related note, British media reports said this weekend that the U.K. perhaps has enough shale gas reserves to fuel the kingdom for 1,500 years. Elsewhere, the African nation of Cameroon said this weekend that it sees oil production climbing 9% this year to an estimated 90,000 barrels per day. Last week, Norway’s state-controlled oil producer Statoil said it plans to spend USD20 billion per year in a bid to boost production by 25% per year by 2020. The company spend just USD13.7 billion on exploration and production projects three years ago compared with an estimated 2013 capital budget of USD19 billion. Elsewhere, Brent futures for April deliver fell 0.01% to USD117.80 per barrel on the ICE Futures Exchange.

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