Crude Oil Range Bound Ahead Of Chinese Data

                     Crude oil is trading at 88.69 up by 42 cents as traders await tomorrow’s HSBC Chinese PMI data. Last week disappointing Chinese data sparked a global commodities sell off seeing gold tumbled the most in 30 years while crude oil fell close to $6.00 in a single day. Crude oil climbed back above $88 per barrel, as traders mulled the prospects for an output cut from the OPEC Countries after a recent slump in prices left oil with a loss of almost 4% on the week.

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Even after posting the biggest gain since March 26, a decline in oil prices is expected to carry on throughout the week amid lingering worries about higher crude supplies in the United States and signs of lower global demand. Most importantly, the trading sentiment towards commodities and energy precisely was strongly rippled last week by a round of downbeat projections for global oil demand, with lower growth for 2013 predicted by the IEA, EIA and the OPEC.

The International Monetary Fund trimmed its global economic growth forecast for 2013. The group has cut growth in the U.S., the world`s top oil consumer to 1.9 percent from 2 percent. China, the world`s second-top consumer, was cut to 8 percent from 8.2 percent.

Natural gas surges to 21-month high after bullish U.S. supply report

              Natural gas futures erased losses to touch a 21-month high during U.S. morning hours on Thursday, after a report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed natural gas supplies rose less-than-expected last week.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in May traded at USD4.319 per million British thermal units during U.S. morning trade, up 2.5% on the day.       

Nymex gas prices fell by as much as 1% earlier in the day to hit a session low of USD4.173 per million British thermal units, before retracing losses to touch a daily high of USD4.333, the strongest level since July 28, 2011. 

The May contract traded at USD4.179 prior to the release of the U.S. Energy Information Administration report.  

Growth and Demand Outlooks Weigh On Crude Oil

             Crude oil continues its decline this morning trading at 86.75 down by 23 cents as growth and recovery downgrades weigh heavily on the commodity. U.S. crude futures for May delivery closed down by $2.04 at $86.68 a barrel, down by 2.3% on Wednesday. Crude prices were down on concerns over weak global oil demand after the IMF cut its global growth forecast to 3.3%. The International Energy Agency said that falling crude prices was evidence that the oil market is well supplied, putting additional pressure on prices. However, crude inventories unexpectedly fell by 1.2M which prevented further downside in prices.

Oil prices have fallen almost 7 percent in the last five days on expectations of sluggish demand from the U.S. and China, the world’s two biggest economies. The price of Brent crude oil has tumbled 18 percent from a peak of $118 a barrel in February to below $98 this week. Weaker-than-expected economic data from the U.S. and China over the past week have heightened concerns that the global economic outlook is not as strong as many expected just a couple of months ago. But the fall in oil prices provides a silver lining, say analysts. Yesterday the US Fed Reserve released its “Beige Book” which reviews the state of the US economy and is a guide for the FOMC. The assessment released Wednesday said overall activity is growing at a moderate pace, which is better than the report six weeks ago in which the economy was growing at a “modest to moderate” pace. According to the report, most of the nation saw increases in manufacturing, though the labor market was either unchanged or improved slightly. There were reports of hiring in manufacturing, residential construction, information technology and professional services.

Oil’s fall comes as part of a wider commodities rout triggered by data released Monday showing growth in China, the world’s second-largest oil consumer, had slowed unexpectedly in the first three months of 2013.Brent crude futures for June delivery hit a low of $96.75 before paring losses to trade at $97.32 early on Wednesday, down 37 cents. Brent stretched its losses into a seventh session – its longest losing streak since October last year.

Oil prices were also under pressure given risk of political uncertainty in the euro zone, where Italy’s divided parliament begins voting for a new state president on Thursday, a crucial step towards resolving the stalemate since the inconclusive election in February and to carry on with fiscal reforms.Investors seemed to shrug off news of Shell declaring force majeure on Nigerian Bonny Light crude oil exports. The company said it was shutting down the 150,000-barrel-per-day Nembe Creek pipeline in Nigeria for repairs.The stronger US dollar is also weighing on prices as equity markets fell around the globe yesterday, traders moved to the safety of the US dollar.

Natural gas prices also eased to trade at 4.189 giving up 19 pips this morning as the dollar strengthened as traders sold off to book profits, with natural gas breaking above the 4.20 mark activating sell orders. U.S. natural gas ended higher as chilly weather forecast boosted the heating demand and supported prices. Inventories today are expected to be positive which could push prices down. However prices are likely to move in a range before the data. - FxEmpire

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Trading In The Green

                                             WTI crude oil closed up 24 cents at $96.58 a barrel, up by 0.25% yesterday. Crude oil futures staged a modest rebound from earlier losses, clawing back above $96 per barrel to extend gains for the fourth session in a row, as recent signs of economic recovery bode well for demand prospects. Crude remains flat after the Asian session today. Crude prices were supported on optimism that US economy is recovering which would improve the demand prospects for crude. However the upside was limited due to a stronger dollar which is trading new a record high of 83.40 this morning and higher inventories which came at 3.3M. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a climb in crude supplies that was about double market expectations. Crude supplies rose 3.3 million barrels for the week ended March 22. Analysts expected a 1.6 million-barrel climb. Motor gasoline supplies fell by 1.6 million barrels, matching analysts’ expectations, while distillate stockpiles declined by 4.5 million barrels, compared with forecasts for a decline of 700,000 barrels in distillate supplies.

Traders can expect crude prices to go slightly up as loose monetary policies by US and Japan is likely to support prices. Assurances from the new head of the Bank of Japan that he would push through more stimulus and new programs at next week’s meeting helped support oil prices.

Japan’s oil imports from Iran rose 15.9 percent in February from a year ago to the highest in eleven months, customs cleared data showed on Thursday, a rare increase from one of the major buyers of crude from sanctions-hit Iran.

Natural Gas gains as weather forecasts point to a chilly start to April

                   Natural gas futures jumped up in afternoon trading on Wednesday, just shy of 18-month highs hit earlier after weather models indicated the temperatures in the first week of April will remain below normal.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in May traded at USD4.087 per million British thermal units, up 2.39%.

The commodity hit a session low of USD3.983 and a high of USD4.101.

Weather forecasting models that called for a chilly end to March extended their frigid forecasts to early April.

MDA Weather Services, for example, predicted below-normal temperatures to stick around over a large portion of the eastern half of the United States through April 10, which pushed up natural gas prices to near 18-month highs.

Markets were eagerly waiting official supply data due for release on Thursday, and hopes were high for more bullish supply data than in last week's report.

Crude Oil Steady As Demand Increases

                                   This morning crude oil is trading at 93.28 giving back 23 cents. WTI Crude oil traded directionless in the midst of countervailing forces. Looming financial meltdown in Cyprus enacted as a headwind, however US Federal Reserve policy statement provided some support to the prices.

Crude prices were supported by Fed’s decision for continued monetary easing which would improve the demand for crude from US. Lower than expected inventories and a weaker dollar internationally also supported crude prices. Traders can expect that crude oil prices can move higher as lesser inventories yesterday and Fed bond buying can support the prices.

Crude-oil futures prices trimmed earlier gains yesterday, after U.S. weekly data showed implied oil demand fell last week to its lowest level since Jan. 4. NYMEX oil futures gained also because of bargain buying after declining in the previous session due to Eurozone economic concerns and anticipation of rise in the US crude oil stock in the week ended Friday.

Crude oil recovered a bit from previous day’s loss to close higher, fueled by higher refinery processing rates and despite concerns over signs of weak gasoline demand ahead of the peak driving season.

Natural Gas Continues To Climb

                  Natural gas continues to climb this morning trading at 3.921 adding over 6 cents as cold weather is forecast throughout the US. As the winter comes to a close, one last winter blast is expected as the North East corridor is beginning to see snowfall. A major snow storm is expected in Minnesota and in the Baltimore Washington corridor. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 2 am to 6 PM EDT Monday. The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has issued a Winter Storm Warning for snow and sleet-which is in effect from 2 am to 6 PM EDT Monday. This late season cold spell is expected to see residential energy demand skyrocket and reduce inventory levels while supporting price increases Natural gas extended its winning streak for the third straight session on Friday, advancing to their highest level in 4-months on forecasts that cold temperatures will persist across most of the US in the coming weeks.

The number of natural gas drilling rigs in the US rose by 24 in the latest week to 431 while oil-rig counts were unchanged at 1,341, according to oil field services company Baker Hughes Inc. Since energy is all about supply and demand, you can see we have a world of demand at our fingertips. From a supply side, prices in the U.S. are as low as they are because we have too much production. Even with the growth of natural gas in electricity generation, we’re simply not consuming enough natural gas domestically to make a dent in the potential production windfall. Production would be even higher in 2012, but prices have been so low that driller all but stopped drilling for natural gas, choosing to drill for oil instead.

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Trade On A Positive Note Ahead Of EIA Inventory

         In the Asian session crude oil continues to gain trading at 92.72 adding 18 cents. West Texas Intermediate oil traded near the highest level in two weeks after an industry report showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell for the first time in a month. The API weekly report released prior to the official EIA inventory showed a decline in stock after the EIA showed a surprising increase in inventory last week. Crude supplies declined by 1.4 million barrels. 

Analysts polled were looking for a 2.3 million-barrel climb. Gasoline inventories also fell by 3.1 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles lost 2.2 million barrels, the trade group said. Analysts forecast a fall of 1.5 million barrels for gasoline supplies and a 2 million-barrel decline for distillate stockpiles.  This week’s EIA projected inventory is expected to show that crude oil added 2.4mn barrels differing from the API release yesterday.

Brent crude oil prices declined for the third straight session in choppy trading session, while US oil posted a fourth consecutive gain, tightening the spread between the two contracts to the narrowest since January. On Tuesday the EIA cut its 2013 world oil demand forecast but also cut the forecast for non-OPEC output having a neutral effect on the markets.

IEA Report Weighs On Crude Oil Prices

                         This morning crude oil continues to ease dipping 23 cents to trade at $92.28. Crude oil retraced back from the high of $93.40 and in the process settled lower yesterday at $92.51. A rise in US oil inventories and bearish forecast from the IEA weighed on the sentiment. The EIA reported that crude stocks rose 2.62mn barrels compared with the expectations for a rise of 2.3mn barrels. Meanwhile, International Energy Agency has cut estimates for global oil demand. Crude oil prices closed slightly lower, as better than-expected US retail sales lifted the dollar to a 7-month high, putting an end to a climb in dollar-denominated assets. The dollar climbed to a 7-month high against a basket of currencies and a 3-month peak against the euro on Wednesday, as robust US retail sales data bolstered prospects for the world’s largest economy. The dollar index rose to 82.882, after a high of 83.055 — its highest level since early August and compared with 82.585 on late Tuesday.

The International Energy Agency most recent report just released continued to inch lower on its forecasts for global oil demand while increasing its expectations of supply growth for this year.
Since January, the Paris-based energy watchdog has cut 200,000 barrels a day from its forecast for oil demand in 2013 and added 200,000 barrels a day to its expectations of supply growth from countries outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC. 

Copper Advances on China Autos, U.S. Jobs: Commodities at Close

The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index of 24 raw materials rose 0.1 percent to settle at 649.62 at 3:59 p.m. New York time, led by industrial metals.

The UBS Bloomberg CMCI gauge of 26 prices advanced 0.3 percent to 1,551.55.

BASE METALS

Copper rose to the highest in more than a week as signs of strength in Chinese auto sales and gains in the U.S. labor market brightened demand prospects for industrial metals.

Wholesale deliveries of cars, multipurpose and sport- utility vehicles rose 20 percent in the two months ended Feb. 28 in the strongest start since 2010, according to a Chinese industry group. U.S. job openings climbed in January, and confidence among small businesses rose in February for a third month, reports showed.

On the Comex in New York, copper futures for May delivery advanced 1.1 percent to $3.5545 a pound. Earlier, the price reached $3.576, the highest for a most-active contract since Feb. 28.

On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three months gained 0.9 percent to $7,830 a metric ton ($3.55 a pound). Zinc, nickel, tin, aluminum and lead also rose.

PRECIOUS METALS

Gold rose, capping the longest rally in six months, as Europe’s slumping economy increased speculation that central banks will expand stimulus measures, boosting demand for the metal as a store of value.

On the Comex, gold futures for April delivery climbed 0.9 percent to $1,591.70 an ounce. The price climbed for the fourth straight session, the longest rally since Aug 21.

Silver futures for May delivery rose 1.1 percent to $29.171 an ounce.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, platinum futures for April delivery fell 0.4 percent to $1,595 an ounce.

Palladium futures for June delivery dropped 0.5 percent to $775.50 an ounce.

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil advanced as the euro trimmed losses against the dollar and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries increased production.

On the Nymex, oil futures for April delivery rose 0.5 percent to $92.54 a barrel.

Brent oil for April settlement dropped 0.5 percent to $109.65 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

OAO Lukoil’s Litasco bought a cargo of Forties crude at the lowest differential in almost 11 months. Statoil ASA bid for Russian Urals blend at the highest spread in almost a month.

Daily exports of the 12 main grades of North Sea crude for loading in April will increase 8 percent to the highest in 10 months, programs obtained by Bloomberg News showed.

OIL PRODUCTS

Gasoline was little changed following wide price swings linked to volatile biofuel-credit prices.

On the Nymex, gasoline futures for April delivery slid 0.1 percent to $3.1502 a gallon. The price rose as much as 1.2 percent and dropped as much as 1.6 percent.

Heating-oil futures for April delivery fell 0.7 percent to $2.9484 a gallon.

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Stronger As US Dollar Eases

Crude oil futures opened marginally higher tracking sharp gains in the Asia equities with investors keying into comments from the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve emphasizing an ongoing commitment to monetary stimulus. Asia stocks climbed Thursday, the last day of the month with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index trading up 0.9%, while the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.4%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average rose 2%, South Korea’s Kospi advanced 1.1%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index moved up 0.7%.

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WTI crude oil tumbled Wednesday after stockpiles of crude rose in top consumer the United States, pressuring an already well supplied market. Inventories of crude oil rose by 1.13 million barrels in the week to Feb. 22, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a weekly report. Distillate stocks, including heating oil and diesel, rose 557,000 barrels. Meanwhile, prices drew support from indications the U.S. economy is improving.

The National Association of Realtors said earlier that its pending home sales index rose by 4.5% in January, beating expectations for a 1.5% gain. Year-on-year, pending home sales rose at annualized rate of 10.4% last month, above expectations for an 8.2% increase. Separately, the U.S. Commerce Department said that total

Natural gas prices plunge as forecasts finally agree on warming trend

Natural gas futures plummeted on Monday after weather services began forecasting a warming trend to settle in over the central and eastern swathes of the U.S.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in March traded at USD3.314 per million British thermal units, down 4.29%.

The commodity hit a session low of USD3.305 and a high of USD3.414.

Colder temperatures gripping the central and

Natural gas prices gain as inventories take unexpected dive

Natural gas futures shot up on Friday after inventories fell more than expected in the U.S., reversing several sessions of losses stemming from forecasts for warming temperatures.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.281 per million British thermal units, up 2.61%.

The Energy Information Administration reported earlier that U.S. natural gas storage fell by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 135 billion cubic feet last week, beating out market calls for a decline of 127 billion cubic feet.

The news brought in buyers who have spent several days on the sidelines thanks to forecasts for warmer weather.

Earlier this week, weather service provider MDA Weather said that it expected temperatures to warm up in the coming days through the second week of January.

Elsewhere, Commodity Weather Group in Bethesda, Maryland, reported that cooler temperatures across most of the mainland U.S. will thaw and yield to above-normal temperatures from Jan. 7 through Jan. 11, which sent natural gas prices plummeting in earlier sessions. 

Natural gas futures are very sensitive to weather reports in the U.S. winter.

The U.S. heating season running from November through March sees peak demand for gas.

About half of U.S. households use gas for heating purposes, according to Energy Department data.

Elsewhere on the NYMEX, light sweet crude oil futures for delivery in February were up 0.16% and trading at USD93.06 a barrel, while heating oil for February delivery were down 0.28% and trading at USD3.0166 per gallon. - investing.com

Natural gas extends losses as forecasts point to warming temps ahead

Natural gas futures extended Monday's losses into Wednesday after weather services continued to forecast warmer temperatures for much of the U.S.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.232 per million British thermal units, down 3.57%.

Earlier this week, weather service provider MDA Weather said that it expected temperatures to warm up in the coming days through the second week of January.

Elsewhere, Commodity Weather Group in Bethesda, Maryland, reported that cooler temperatures across most of the mainland U.S. will thaw and yield to above-normal temperatures from Jan. 7 through Jan. 11, which sent natural gas prices plummeting. 

Natural gas futures are very sensitive to weather reports in the U.S. winter.

The U.S. heating season running from November through March sees peak demand for gas.

About half of U.S. households use gas for heating purposes, according to Energy Department data.

Meanwhile, U.S. natural gas storage fell less than expected in the week before last, official data revealed on Friday, though weather forecasts served as the market's chief weather vane.

In a report, the Energy Information Administration said that U.S. natural gas storage fell by 72 billion cubic feet last week to 3.652 trillion cubic feet, less than a decline of 82 billion cubic feet in the preceding week. 

Analysts had expected U.S. natural gas storage to fall 76 billion cubic feet last week, though markets focused more on weather forecasts

Elsewhere on the NYMEX, light sweet crude oil futures for delivery in February were up 1.24% and trading at USD92.96 a barrel, while heating oil for February delivery were up 0.69% and trading at USD3.0526 per gallon.

Natural gas plummets as forecasts point to warmer weather

               Natural gas futures tanked on Monday after meteorologists tweaked their forecasts for the next two weeks to the warmer side.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.374 per million British thermal units, down 2.72%.

Recent forecasts calling for cold weather to return in January moderated somewhat Monday.

Weather service provider MDA Weather said that it expected temperatures to warm up in the coming days through the second week of January.

Natural gas futures are very sensitive to weather reports in the U.S. winter.

The heating season from November through March sees peak demand for U.S. gas.

About half of U.S. households use gas for heating purposes, according to Energy Department data.

Meanwhile, U.S. natural gas storage fell less than expected in the week before last, official data revealed on Friday, though weather forecasts served as the market's chief weather vane.

In a report, the Energy Information Administration said that U.S. natural gas storage fell by 72 billion cubic feet last week to 3.652 trillion cubic feet, less than a decline of 82 billion cubic feet in the preceding week.

Analysts had expected U.S. natural gas storage to fall 76 billion cubic feet last week, though markets focused more on weather forecasts

Elsewhere on the NYMEX, light sweet crude oil futures for delivery in February were up 0.83% and trading at USD91.55 a barrel, while heating oil for February delivery were up 0.41% and trading at USD3.0337 per gallon. -Investing.com